Themes

Markets tracking artificial intelligence progress, including AGI timelines, company competition, regulatory developments, and capability milestones.

Markets tracking cross-strait relations, conflict probability, economic decoupling, and diplomatic developments between China and Taiwan.

Markets related to the Russia-Ukraine war, including leadership stability, territorial control, international support, and diplomatic outcomes.

Inflation, interest rates, GDP growth, and economic policy forecasts from prediction markets.

Markets tracking international conflicts, territorial control, and diplomatic developments

Markets tracking US political outcomes including presidential races, congressional control, and policy implementation

Markets tracking Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions, interest rate expectations, inflation outlook, and economic indicators.

Markets tracking the 2024 US presidential and congressional elections, including primaries, general election odds, and key state races.